Kehinde Fajobi
This week’s political developments in Nigeria have brought critical issues to the forefront, ranging from deepening regional tensions and governance challenges to electoral reforms and security breakthroughs.
Here’s a detailed analysis of the top stories and their implications for governance, policy, and public discourse:
Kwankwaso Alleges Lagos Is “Colonising” Northern Nigeria
Former Kano State Governor, Rabiu Kwankwaso, sparked controversy by accusing Lagos of economic and political overreach in northern Nigeria. Speaking at Skyline University’s convocation in Kano, Kwankwaso claimed, “Today, Lagos wouldn’t allow us to choose an emir; Lagos has to come to the centre of Kano to put their own emir.”
He criticised resource allocation policies he claimed funnel wealth to Lagos while impoverishing the north, calling on northern lawmakers to resist policies that allegedly disadvantage the region.
Implications:
Kwankwaso’s use of the term “colonise” highlights long-standing tensions between northern and southern Nigeria over economic control and federal resource allocation. Such remarks could inflame regional divisions, risking further alienation. Policymakers must urgently address equitable resource distribution while avoiding incendiary rhetoric that threatens national cohesion.
Presidency to Obasanjo: Apologise for Failed Leadership
Aide to President Tinubu, Sunday Dare, fired back at former President Olusegun Obasanjo for describing Nigeria as a “failing state.” Dare accused Obasanjo of presiding over one of Nigeria’s most corrupt administrations, citing the $16 billion power project controversy and the failed third-term bid.
He dismissed Obasanjo’s criticism of Tinubu’s administration as “market noise” and urged him to reflect on his legacy.
Implications:
This public exchange underscores the politicisation of governance critiques. While Obasanjo’s critique of governance resonates with many Nigerians facing hardship, the Presidency’s rebuttal shifts the focus to personal attacks instead of addressing critical governance issues. This trend detracts from substantive discourse on Nigeria’s challenges, such as economic hardship and electoral credibility.
Senate Approves $2.2bn Loan Amid Rising Debt Concerns
The Senate approved President Tinubu’s request for a $2.2 billion external loan to fund the 2024 budget, despite mounting concerns over Nigeria’s growing debt profile. Debt servicing costs hit $3.58 billion in the first nine months of 2024, a 39.77% increase from 2023, while state debts surged to ₦11.47 trillion by June 2024.
Implications:
While the loan aims to sustain critical expenditures, Nigeria’s rising debt raises questions about fiscal sustainability. The weakening naira exacerbates debt servicing costs, highlighting the need for innovative financing strategies. The government must balance immediate needs with long-term economic stability to avoid deepening inequalities.
Diaspora Voting Bill Advances in House of Representatives
The Diaspora Voting Bill passed its second reading in the House of Representatives, signaling progress towards enabling Nigerians abroad to vote in elections. The bill, co-sponsored by Speaker Abbas Tajudeen, will now be reviewed by the Constitution Amendment Committee.
Implications:
If passed, this legislation could significantly expand Nigeria’s democratic participation, engaging millions of citizens in the diaspora. However, logistical challenges like voter verification and the costs of implementation pose significant hurdles. Nigeria must first address domestic electoral management challenges to ensure credibility before venturing into diaspora voting.
Bode George Warns of PDP Members Working for APC
Former PDP Deputy Chairman Bode George accused some party members of covertly supporting the APC ahead of the 2027 elections. He specifically criticised Atiku Abubakar, calling him “desperate,” and urged the party to prioritise unity. George also called for younger southern candidates to emerge to revitalise the party.
Implications:
George’s comments reflect deep divisions within the PDP, threatening its ability to mount a strong challenge against the APC in 2027. Alleged anti-party activities by figures like Nyesom Wike underscore leadership gaps that could cost the PDP its relevance. Without decisive action, internal crises may hand an easy victory to the ruling party.
Simon Ekpa Arrested in Finland Over Terrorism Charges
Pro-Biafran agitator Simon Ekpa was arrested in Finland alongside four others for alleged terrorism financing and incitement. Finnish authorities claim Ekpa’s activities fuelled violence in Southeast Nigeria. This marks the second time Finnish authorities have acted against him.
Implications:
Ekpa’s arrest highlights the complexities of tackling transnational security threats. His activities reportedly intensified unrest in Nigeria, complicating peace efforts in the Southeast. The arrest signals progress in curbing external influences on domestic insurgencies and underscores the importance of international cooperation in addressing global security challenges.
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These stories highlight the complex interplay of regional tensions, governance hurdles, and political reforms shaping Nigeria’s political landscape. As the nation navigates these challenges, prioritising unity, equity, and effective policy responses will remain crucial to sustaining progress.